Yet another Colorado poll to add to the heap, this one by Frederick Polls (7/16-22, likely voters):
Mark Udall (D): 48
Bob Schaffer (R): 39
(MoE: ±3.7%)
And now, for the Maine event: Critical Insights (6/1-27, registered voters, 10/17-30 in parens):
Tom Allen (D): 37 (34)
Susan Collins (R-inc): 51 (54)
(MoE: ±4%)
That’s pretty much in-line with what we’ve seen happen in this race over the past year: a slight tightening, but plenty of ground left that Allen has to play catch-up on. This race is tough but doable, and if Democrats can pry this one out of Susan Collins’ cold fingers, they’ll hold it for a long, long time.
UPDATE: When the Maine poll’s sample is narrowed to likely voters, Collins’ lead shrinks to 50-40. Check out the polling memo for more details.
Someone is wrong. Obama leads 45-41 and that is more in line with other polling so maybe Frederick is correct. Though his poll has a larger margin of error so who knows. However if we go with the average of the CO polls out the last couple days Obama is a few points up, Udall about 7 or 8 and that feels about right to me.
How strange. Why wait nearly a month to release a poll; it’s already out of date, politically speaking. Also, who polls over 27 days?! Do they just have two guys making 15-20 calls/day over their lunch hour?
. . . protects Susan Collins even more than the national media protects John McCain. As such, it will be very difficult for Allen’s message to reach the public. At this point in the game, only Obama’s coattails can save Tom Allen from defeat.
(And, James . . . I don’t even want to know how you are familiar with the temperature of Collins’ fingers! Heehee, you walked right into that one).